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For any stat or "curse" like these ones I always have to wonder how many Derbys should the non-raced two year-olds have won during that span? What was the public's perception of their total win probability as a whole?
A certain stat or angle may play at a 2 for 50 rate, but if the perception of the win probability of the group as a whole only totaled 225% then the group is performing to about what is expected of them.
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