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Originally Posted by Stillriledup
Here's why i say they're not necessarily using pace in the numbers. Because if they had a pace "formula" and the formula showed that Wise Dan and this 20k claimer both had numbers in the mid 80s, they would throw all that out the window under the 'eyeball test' and give Dan his usual figure. Its sort of the "by definition" theory.
The "fit" has to make sense, so they "tweak" it to make sense.
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This is correct.
Pace is NOT part of some elaborate formula. However, those guys can recognize extreme paces by looking at the fractions, watching the races and knowing the horses (or using Moss pace figures) just as well as anyone else.
So they can make adjustments to figures that were impacted by extreme paces so they make sense.
