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Originally Posted by dballard125
I just think you tend to argue (or ignore) any trend or data, that isn't flattering towards Gun Runner lol.
Times? They're not nearly as important as people make them out to be, because Gun Runner's aren't that impressive.
Trends? Horses don't tend to win the KD, straight from the Louisiana Derby? Who cares...trends are there to be broken.
Quality of competition? Yeah Nyquist is 7-7 and beaten Exaggerator, Mohaymen, and Brody's Cause. He's won on different tracks, in different conditions, and at different positions in the race. Who cares...he's being worked lightly and his trainers overconfident.
Try not to be so obvious with your bias man lol.
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Couldn't care less about the 6 weeks and LA Derby... All that stuff is media narrative anyways. The actual numbers suggest 6 weeks and 2 preps is probably optimal.
NO HORSE is coming into the Derby with a better prep schedule/pattern... the problem is you're playing this horse "on the come" at underlaid odds. I'm not talking about times, I'm talking about speed figures.
I don't hate him and I'm considering using him (only because of the pattern). I just hate the price for what he has actually done thus far on the racetrack.
