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Old 02-24-2020, 11:57 AM   #27
ubercapper
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Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 1,238
Quote:
Originally Posted by cj View Post
Saffie Joseph, last 365 days

1st time after claim...

31 for 77, 40%, $2.40 ROI per $2

1st time after claimed from...

15 for 72, 21%, $1.65 ROI per $2

I totally agree as they come up going forward each and every one of these horses should be given a long look when handicapping.


Looking at his five year numbers off the claim I come up with 34% (65 for 189) with an ROI of $1.90 per $2. I still don't think 189 is a big enough number for statistical significance but I would say holding above 33% over five years suggests his ability to identify horses he can move up is pretty strong.



Statistically, I'll leave it to others to determine whether it's an outlier compared to the mean and no way associated with chance.
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