Quote:
|
Originally Posted by zerosky
Deciding whether or not not a race has run to form is open to interpretation
but for the sake of argument if the top three in the betting finish in the top three places (any order)
then that should be a rough indication that the race ran fairly close to the form book. (puts tin hat on  )
If this is so then what proportion of races finish with the top three in the betting finishing in the top three places? |
I’ve never heard of “races running to form”. I have heard of horses running to form though. From a handicapping perspective that simply means that in today’s race a horse may have run similar to its previous races with similar conditions (Class, distance, etc.) in terms of its relative position in the pace scenario and finish position. Unfortunately, this comparison can only be made after the race is over. In terms of how it ran and finishes, might also confirm the condition the horse was in, but again only after the fact.
From a
pre-race betting perspective these type of evaluations are totally ineffective. This is because they would be based on subjective assumptions that the horse is in fact in condition and actually entered in the race with intentions of winning it. Outsiders relying on past performance data have absolutely no way of reaching such an objective conclusion and as a result any opinion they may have becomes pure speculation.
.
