Quote:
Originally Posted by zerosky
Deciding whether or not not a race has run to form is open to interpretation
but for the sake of argument if the top three in the betting finish in the top three places (any order)
then that should be a rough indication that the race ran fairly close to the form book. (puts tin hat on ) ...
|
Our definition of a horse's form is different. Mine is based on the horse's past performances not the betting public's opinion. My contenders usually run to their form with exceptions which is one of the things I'm attempting to figure out why not. One of the problems I'm having is one of the non-contenders jumps up in their performance.
Quote:
... If this is so then what proportion of races finish with the top three in the betting finishing in the top three places?
|
I would expect this would occur only a small % of the time unless the field size is less than five or six.