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Originally Posted by zerosky
Deciding whether or not not a race has run to form is open to interpretation
but for the sake of argument if the top three in the betting finish in the top three places (any order)
then that should be a rough indication that the race ran fairly close to the form book. (puts tin hat on  )
If this is so then what proportion of races finish with the top three in the betting finishing in the top three places? |
what a question that is! the only answer i can give is that sometimes they do and sometimes they don't. and the times they do in pari mutuel wagering doesn't make up for the times they don't.
i have always looked at this game as the right horse to play is the one that you think is going to outrun his present form.
after losing for 3 consecutive years i knew i had to change things up a bit. so far i have been a very slight winner over the last 6 months. its under 1% ROI, but its at least a step in the right direction. (that is after the rebate). it might be because i have gone back to playing more NYRA and So. Cal that i can attribute the better results.
