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Old 05-07-2018, 08:48 PM   #11
Denny
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Join Date: Oct 2017
Posts: 621
[QUOTE=dilanesp;2313594]Sample sizes are too small. Most likely the string of favorites is random variance.

Do you realize what the mathematical odds are of 6 favorites in a row?

In a twenty horse field?

Even if we take the old standard of favorites winning 1 in 3 (which is extremely generous for that size field) - the odds would be something like -

1/(3x3x3x3x3x3) {1 divided by 3 to the 6th)

1 / 729 = 0.00137

0.137 %

That's some "random variance" you have there!
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