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Old 05-07-2018, 02:52 PM   #5
GMB@BP
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Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Dark Side of the Moon
Posts: 5,870
Quote:
Originally Posted by dilanesp View Post
Sample sizes are too small. Most likely the string of favorites is random variance.Indeed I have some evidence of this from last year-- Always Dreaming was clearly not the best horse in that race, even though he went favored. He apparently took advantage of a track bias produced by the sealing of the racetrack.
Well said. In hindsight Always Dreaming was a very lucky winner.

The horse he beat was like 40/1.
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