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who can win
I don't know if this falls under trite advice, but I think a big trap novice and casual handicappers fall into is worrying too much about picking a winner.
Not picking winners because ultimately you do have to have some opinion on that, but save the "on top" selection for the tip sheets and focus on how you can make the most money off each wagering opportunity (and sometimes that includes keeping money in your wallet).
I think poker literature does a much better job explaining this. It's not about winning the hand or folding losers. It's about winning as much as possible per pot/session (or, again, avoiding losing situations).
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