Quote:
Originally Posted by thaskalos
So, to summarize:
Let's say that a particular horse has run the best figures of the entire field in its last couple of races, but has done so while running "evenly", at the same class and distance as the horse is facing today. And the horse is being offered at an enticing betting price on the tote board. Does the steed deserve the discriminating bettor's confident win-wager...or do its lackluster running lines keep us sitting on our wallets?
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Thaskalos
'Enticing' is a relative term.
Am I restricted to the high Beyers, or am I allowed to use other models (like video replay), as well?
Quote:
Originally Posted by mountainman
I think the tow-along element depends largely on surface and running style. I've seen completely outclassed grass horses with one even- gear lose by 6 lengths, yet run career figs. While front-running (or pace-oriented) dirt horses usually run far below their normal numbers when seriously over-matched.
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Dirt seems to expose the 'scrubs' more than Turf.
I don't know the 'herd' stuff. Very few horses are able to win on their own, and I'm hoping to find one at a value. If you were strictly figure based, you'd have to adjust for the herd and the surface...
