Quote:
Originally Posted by GBL
P.S. to the above in light of overlays: Just like overlaid favorites, not every high priced-overlay is a good, bet-able overlay. The 15/1 in your assessment system going off as 25/1 doesn't necessarily makes it a good bet.
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why?
if your probs are as correct as possible, and your 15/1 chances win at that percentage(or greater if you set your probs to less than 1) then there can be but one result.
if not, then that insinuates that your 15/1 horses should have been given longer prices.
