Quote:
Originally Posted by JohnGalt1
Thanks for your response.
I was looking for races with similar times and DRF figs and variants, even though I know they are not perfect.
Burma Road was the only turf example I found in the two days I looked at, so that could be another reason it's a questionable example. Even though you the two races equal, Bris makes one race 5 point higher.
I know Mr. Jägermeister 8/20/17 race was as a two year old but the times were equal at the same track with almost equal variants.
When I handicap a race with lightly raced three year old horses with one or two races as a two year old and then comes back in the Spring at three, I adjust the two year old races faster. Most two year old horses improve a lot after a winter lay off.
While I would not have adjusted the 2 year old race faster for his 3 year old season, because he had 4 races a s a two year old, I would not make it slower either.
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That is pretty much the whole point of speed figures though, to be able to better judge races than using the clock alone. Another is to compare different distances with numbers instead of trying to do it with dissimilar times, but the biggest thing is the track variant.
