Quote:
Originally Posted by thaskalos
I don't know how it is where you live, but in the Chicago-area where I live, you can walk into a casino or an OTB, make your sports wager...and no one will know whether you are a winner or a loser, nor can anyone limit the size of your bets. And it won't be long before this is the case nationwide. Don't believe all the nonsense that you hear. And if you think that the horses are easier to beat than baseball and basketball...then I think you should have your head examined.
And another thing. The horses and poker require that you sit your ass down and spend hours and hours in active participation in order to make a profit. It's like a second job. With sports betting...you walk up to the window, make your bets...and go on with your life.  |
While it may be easier to 'beat' I suspect profitable sports betting takes full immersion and a whole lot of close observation. Stats from games aren't likely to tell the whole story any more than raw pps do vs trip observation. What sports betting definitely does have vs horse racing is a pointspread which puts even pure guesswork from casuals at 50% winners. That's a massive safety net from a money management standpoint. It creates great churn along with bunches of winning participants on a weekly basis. Casuals in racing dive into horizontals, it's the total opposite, it's low win rate, they're busted quickly and out of commission for another week. Racing definitely lacks some form of fixed odds on 50%/50% prop bets and I'm not sure how it can bring that to the table in some form every race. Horse against horse would be a huge step in that direction. In racing even when you know what odds you're getting within a reasonable + or - (which I pretty much did all day today) if you're looking for 50/50 on win rate it just isn't there very often at the price. I think I handicapped 8 or 9 races today and made no bets. That's a lot of time invested, 3-4 hours looking for prime bet opportunities, horses that I really liked were either below my min acceptable odds or higher odds but lower percentage plays that I stayed out of. On the positive side yesterday I made one bet out of 6 or 7 races and won it. There are different ways to bet on horses obviously but there's also a degree of selectivity that's required in order to be profitable which I think very few people are willing to steel themselves for.
