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[MJC922]

For me it came down to money management and playing a high percentage game. A game where you have winning days 40% of the time and profits in the 8-10% ROI range, pre-rebate days. I can assure you that was attainable. Horses I would give a 50/50 chance to at 3-2 or more is really the foundation of the money management plan that I used and it was from the Beyer/Davidowitz recommendations in their early books. Bet at 2% of bankroll. Cap the bankroll at a number that's sensible given both the pool sizes where you play and your own bet sizing comfort levels, then do profit-taking when the bankroll goes above that. I was placing my bets late in those days but it was before the late odds volatility really took hold of the game. Now you should use the DD probables matrix to assess your odds, stick with NYRA and you won't have any problems with odds. I'm of the opinion you find value in the factors that most people do not understand or really pay attention to. I don't think you'll find much value in putting together a whole bunch of level-one data better than the next guy. That's where many of the books will lead you.