04-29-2021, 05:19 PM
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#44
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@TimeformUSfigs
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 46,816
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Parkview_Pirate
Is Helium not listed in CJ's latest sheet, or am I going blind?
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cj
I lied, got to it tonight, here you go.
I'll be honest, I'm wary of the Louisiana Derby. I did the best I could but that 1 3/16 distance is new at the Fair Grounds. They've only run it twice, the same race last year and this year. But, they used different run ups so there really wasn't any kind of baseline to judge the last fraction. On top of that, I'm obviously converting it to match the 1 1/8 races as well, so more noise thrown in.
There were two horses this year that don't show up because they haven't run 1 1/8. Helium hasn't been seen since winning the Tampa Derby at 1 1/16 and King Fury won the Lexington at 1 1/16. I have found those final fractions don't project well to longer distances.
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See bolded above.
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