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[woodbinepmi]

Hong Kong for at Happy Valley. Tenth race meeting of the 2017-2018 year.
Weather report: 81 degrees with Partly Cloudy Wind: ENE mph. 10 to 15

Post time: 7.15am ET, 4.15 am PT. Rail: Course “A”, track listed: Good

Past Performance links:
http://racing.hkjc.com/racing/content/PDF/RaceCard/20171005_starter_all.pdf
http://www.drf.com/hk
http://www.scmp.com/sport/racing/racecard


Live Video Feed:
http://www.drf.com/drf/live_video/hong_kong/392221

Vulnerable favourites on the card:
Race 8 Nassa (7-2): Has been away since May when he sustained a left radius stress fracture, even though he’s coming out of a key race will try and beat him in here.

Horses coming out of key races (races where multiple winners have come back next time out and won):

Race 029: (The first two runners won next out with the 5th place finisher ran second)
Race 2 Never Better (6-1)

Race *764: (the 3rd and 4th place finishers won)
Race 4 Planet Star (9-1)

Race *747: (5th and 7th win while the 3rd place was a runner up)
Race 5 Navas (17-1)

Race *705: (3rd and 6th won with the 2nd and 8th finished second)
Race 7 Keep Moving (6-1)

Race *670 (three horses won next out: the 2nd, 4th and 6th)
Race 8 Nassa (7-2)

Race *767 (The winner and 6th won with the 9th running a good second)
Race 8 Chater Legend (14-1)
Race 8 Super Chic (10-1)

In the event of rain these horses have shown an appreciation for soft footing. (Good to Yielding or Yielding):
Race 3 Unique Happiest (7-1)
Race 3 Happy And Healthy (12-1)
Race 5 Back In Black (9-1)
Race 7 Mr Right (10-1)

Last race watch list horses:
Race 1 Victory Follow Me (5-1): Was very unlucky at the computer draw getting the 11 post with the short run to the first turn. Leaped out of the gate costing him a couple lengths, Purton took full advantage of a bad situation and took him straight to the rail while taking a running position in the rear of the field. Then had to take up slightly in the turn, then was seriously checked entering the backstretch. Moved out to the 5 path in the stretch looking for room but was jostled up slightly when a tiring runner got into his path, closed well afterward.

Race London City (14-1): Had been away since June and was bet down to 3-1 as the slight favourite, sat right off the leaders in a nice striking position but was forced three wide uncovered on the turn when the winner under him came off the rail, he looked like a winner at the 150 mark but was just a little short while the first place runner who had already had a race out since the break, missed only by a half-length.

Race 6 The Sylph (5-1): Bet down as the favourite with Moreira up, was steadied entering the stretch closed well beaten by Bo Duke who had a perfect trip sitting right behind a lone speed quitter. Will most likely lose Moreira for his next out considering he’s gone up 2 points in the ratings, which will put him in Class 3. Praying for a good draw in the Class 3 race.

Race 8 Dinozzo (9-1): Leaped out of the gate then settled on the rail in the first turn racing mid-pack, moved into contention but was herded down on the rail then moved out to the 3 path but was never able to find any room to run. Moreira wrapped up on him in the last 50 metres while still only finishing less than 2 lengths back.


Past watch list runners:
Race 8 Doyeni (9-1) Race *787

Key Play:
Race 8 Dinozzo (9-1)

Longshots:
Race 1 Gold Velvet (16-1)
Race 2 London City (11-1)
Race 3 King Winsa (14-1)
Race 5 General Iron (14-1)
Race 6 Thunder Stomp (11-1)
Race 7 Racing Mate (14-1)
Race 8 Packing Dragon (12-1)


Before the each race meeting I will be publishing a report on the previous race day, including: Speed figures for each race, horses to watch for, horses to avoid next time out, biases, key races and general observations on the day.