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Old 11-26-2017, 07:34 PM   #14
Robert Fischer
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Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cj View Post
I find that one impossible to believe if he were playing every race.
using the 67.1% ITM, the max. consecutive probable losses = 8

if we use 50% to cut some slack for era difference and random race selection = 13

In order for the max. probable consecutive losses to be 22, the hit% would equal 34% (which is closer to typical favorite win% than ITM)


so, yea, he was improbably unlucky if true, or story was conflated with consecutive losing favorites.
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