Quote:
Originally Posted by Aner
I'm going to abort this study. While the MLF's I like do better than the ones I dislike, there appears to be little chance for a positive outcome. Here is a summary of all bets in the study.
Win hit rate:
Favored MLF = 34%
Disliked MLF = 22%
Alternate ML = 17%
Money Lost:
Favored MLF = -21%
Disliked MLF = -31%
Alternate ML = -17%
Hit the board (w,p or s):
Favored MLF = 68%
Disliked MLF = 60%
Alternate ML = 47%
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If you have the data, recalculate your flat bet size to proportional odds bet size. 1/(final win odds +1) and apply as your new bet size. Also, for those races you don't like the favorite, bet all the other horses proportionally
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Last edited by formula_2002; 12-15-2021 at 06:44 AM.
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