Quote:
Originally Posted by Half Smoke
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yes, I posted a few weeks ago that I was quitting betting racing but that hasn't happened................surprise surprise surprise
except for very big races where I like betting on a very strong horse................I've changed my strategy
I will no longer pick one horse that I like.................
instead I will bet against the fave
when I see a fave that's odds on - 3/5 or 4/5 that is way undeserving IMHO
to do that I will have to predict that late money will take him down that low - or close to that low - he probably won't be that low when I bet him - predicting this is often not very hard to do
I will dutch 3 or 4 horses against the fave picking those that I think have the best chance to beat him
comments?
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When you bet on those 3 or 4 horses against the prohibitive favorite...will your total monetary investment be much greater than what you'd be normally willing to bet in a race? IMO...what destroys most dutch bettors is their overconfidence. They are so sure that one of their 3 or 4 dutched horses will defeat the prohibitive favorite...they end up betting much more on the race than what their bankroll can safely afford.
