03-16-2024, 11:43 AM
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#10
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2023
Posts: 323
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dave Schwartz
PS: One more thing... The most revolutionary and best way to create pace ratings originated within the confines of well-known genius, Jim Cramer of HDW.
His approach is to take the fractional times and extrapolate them out as if they were final times and award them the speed rating they would earn.
HUH?
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Imagine you have a track where the 6f FT par (for $10k claimers) is 1:10.00 - i.e. 70.00 seconds.
You look at the 1st fraction and you see a time of 22:00.
Since the F1 Distance = 2f, and the entire race is 6f, then if the horse continued to run at the same pace for an entire race, he'd finish in 66.00 seconds.
So, you compute the F1 rating just as you would a FT of 66.00.
Let's assume that you are using a simple 1 pt = 1 len approach.
Thus, the 22:00 multiplies to 66.00, which is 4.00 seconds fast. Translating that to lengths (at 5 lens per second) you'd get 20 lengths fast.
Thus, the F1 would rate a 120.
Feel free to use more esoteric lengths per second, or change them per distance, or whatever else you have.
The 2nd call would, of course, have different multipliers.
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Dave
I image that he's tested this against using par fractional times? How would it compare?
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