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[ElKabong]

Originally Posted by Saratoga_Mike

Not really...

Final 2016 polling averages:*

National:
Polls - Clinton by 3.3 points
Actual - Clinton by 2.1 points

Comment: Excellent results, well within the margin of error.

Florida:
Polls - Trump by 0.2 points
Actual - Trump by 1.2 points

Comment: Excellent results, well within the margin of error.

Penn:
Polls - Clinton by 1.9 points
Actual - Trump by 0.7 points

Comment: Acceptable results, within the margin of error.

Michigan:
Polls - Clinton by 3.4 points
Actual - Trump by 0.3 points

Comment: Within the margin of error

Wisconsin:
Polls - Clinton by 6.5 points
Actual - Trump by 0.7 points

Comment: Bad results

*Source: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...tein-5952.html

The link brings you to the final 2016 national polling averages; you may also pull up the state-by-state averages.

Why were a few of states polls off by more than expected? Undecided broke disproportionally toward Trump (polls don't make predictions about undecideds, obviously) and incorrect modeling of demographic turnout. Will this happen again? I guess it depends on who you're backing.

Not accurate. Like this year the #s were inflated in Sept, Oct and didn't reflect reality. The numbers were vapor. Only in the last days did the polls inch back to reality.

Also note, all these polls were under what trump performed to. Not a single poll had trump at a higher number than the results showed. If you dont see the basic error of this, I can't help you