Quote:
Originally Posted by myohmyjustify
Within the margin of error doesn't cut it when the actual vote is taken on Election Day. The actual vote proved just one thing, the polls were wrong. Plain and simple.
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If the polls predicted the results perfectly, we would not need elections. From a statistical standpoint, "within the margin of error" means the state-level polls predicted the results plus/minus 4 points (varies by poll) with a 95% confidence level. It sounds like you want the polls to nail the results with a 100% confidence level. That isn't going to happen, no matter what pollster(s) you hire.
