2 Plays with Analysis-WED. ARIL 1
WEDNESDAY APRIL 1, 2009
NAP::
TRACK-BEULAH PARK
RACE-#6
HORSE-#1-(VINTAGE DAVE)
Vintage Dave is competing today at the lowest level of his career. He is making a drop to $5000 tag after
running a very decent race last time finishing a close up second. It appears this drop will make all the difference in the world.
He has raced as high as a 15000claimer in which he won and now down to a 5K claimer. Joe Woodard has My Dominant Trainer Rating in this race
and Yuri Yaranga has my Top Jokey Rating as well. I think everything is a go here to the winner's circle. Vintage Dave has the Best E1 and best E2 Rating
along with My Dominant Overall Speed Rating. He is the Morning Line Favorite at 2/1 but I think he is a very good bet if I can get My Fair Odds of 1/1
Post Time is....3:25 PM EDST
NB::
TRACK-LAUREL
RACE-#7
HORSE-#7-(PRINCESS PERRY)
This 4 year old is making her second start here at Laurel after shipping in from Philly Park 2 races back. She has hit the board
in 3 of her last 3 races which show me she is in good form. I hope she can maintain that form for this race. She is making her first
start on the grass and also going a little shorter in distance. I am going to consider these moves as positive by the connections. I think
they, as well as me are looking for a good effort this time. I have the trainer ( Ann Merryman ) rated #3 by my ratings but with My Top Rated Jockey
(Harry Vega) I think they can get the job done. I love the Morning Line Odds on this one. I don't know why the ML odds are 6/1 but this might
make a very nice value play for me. If I can get My Fair Odds of 7/5 I will bet her across the board.
On Tuesday the NAP ran second as an underlay..The NB won but was also bet down to an underlay
THE YEAR TO DATE PROFIT ON OVERLAYS IS +52%
__________________
Cliff Smith
|