This problem is one reason I use adjusted fractional velocities rather than pace figures. With velocities you can see how fast the horses were traveling in each fractional segment, regardless of the final distance of the race. By combining the fractional velocities you get a total velocity, in feet per second. This enables you to more readily compare different distances. Then you only need to decide if a horse can stretch out or drop back in distance well. That's a subjective decision and you'll be right sometimes and wrong other times.
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