Quote:
Originally Posted by f2tornado
It looks like even he would have a new high Timeform figure. If the Timeform is more accurate then a bunch of horses nearly caught up with Justify. If Beyer is more accurate then Justify regressed and Bravazo and Tenfold sported new highs. Equibase figure more closely fits Timeform. Beyer provided some insight after the FrontRunner when his figure was called into question. He primarily suggested having several horses make large leaps to career bests in a race is almost unbelievable. It would seem more probable to me in the 2 and 3 year old ranks especially this time of year. I have read Storm Cat progeny tend to mature quickly and it's conceivable the rest of the crew really are simply catching up with him. And, there will be more fresh hooves targeting him at the Big Sandy. I would not be shocked if he won the race or pulled a Chrome and finished 4th.
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Why is it so surprising that horse like Bravazo and Tenfold would run career best races and figures when they get a dream setup like they had on Saturday? Sitting behind dueling leaders who engaged the whole way, quickened at at the 3/8ths pole and tired late is exactly what I would have wanted had I trained those horses.
If there are overbet horses out of the Preakness its Tenfold and Bravazo.
Justify's issues in the Belmont wont be that he is too slow it will be that 12F is too much or maybe just too much racing the past couple months.
