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Old 09-14-2020, 09:26 AM   #30
classhandicapper
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Tom View Post
Can moisture date be all that helpful?
Is it uniform throughout the whole track?

I would think it would vary depending on sunlight - say Aqueduct, where the clubhouse turn is used very little, or Belmont, where it is hardly ever used. What about shadows from the clubhouse in the stretch?
I agree.

All I can say is that I've been at the track where halfway through the card I was convinced there was a speed/closer bias, then the maintenance crew either didn't add water for a few races or added extra water and the track changed. I've even seen it twice on the same card (imo the track was favoring speed, then they allowed the track to dry out and it got more tiring, then they added a ton of water before the feature race and the track was back to speed favoring)

I've never been able to exploit it because I'm not there every day making notes looking for patterns, but if I had good information it might help analyze the results or help make speed figures.
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Last edited by classhandicapper; 09-14-2020 at 09:29 AM.
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