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Originally Posted by cj
Of course, the races are run differently in general, though obviously there are numerous exceptions on all surfaces.
Here is why it matters in regards to speed figures which is what I was discussing. Imagine a speed figure scale where a beaten length counts as 2 points on dirt and turf. Horse A and Horse B both exit 9f races on turf.
Horse A exits a race won with a 100, was beaten 2 lengths. He gets a speed figure of 96
Horse B exits a race won with a 94, and he won the race. His speed figure is a 94.
In this scenario, horse A appears a length faster. But is he? What I am finding is that Horse A actually should have gotten a 92 if you double the value of a beaten length. He is now rated a length slower.
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It's an interesting theoretical question.
Do we want to know who ran the faster final time or do we want to know who actually ran better?
Sometimes they are different answers.
