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Thread: SA Race 4 12/31
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Old 12-31-2017, 05:47 PM   #3
RunForTheRoses
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Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 4,149
Quote:
Originally Posted by cj View Post
A few things...


It was a terrible morning line. The points added up way to high. Just adjusting for the overage knocked the winner down to below 3-1.

Using the daily double probables with the top three choices from the prior race projected odds of 1.2, 0.5, and 0.6.

The P3 will pay projected odds of 1.2.

If you average those four, you get about 0.9. The info was there, this horse was always going to take a lot of money. This was discussed somewhere, I guess the late odds changes thread. It generally works and is better than just hoping your odds won't drop.
It was a terrible morning line

Thats all you really have to read from your post. But it was fairly dramatic for a "big" track like Anita. Not complaining, I did have the P5.
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