Quote:
Originally Posted by pandy
Oxbow was right on the pace in that 2013 Derby. That was a good score for me in the Preakness, Oxbow fit the system play form my Pace Handicapping Longshots book.
But Epicenter and Zandon had no excuses. They ran well, I personally don't think they ran great. If Chad Brown could have drawn it up he would have given Zandon the exact trip that he had. He simply didn't have a strong enough closing kick off a complete pace meltdown.
The horse that ran well on the pace was Zozos. That horse could be a very tough sprinter/miler if they keep him out of these longer races.
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Oxbow and Epicenter ran nearly identical races through 6F and 1M. They were both 3 to 3.5 back at 6F into very similar fractions, and sitting on the lead/.5 back after 1M.
Difference is Epicenter went on to finish runner up beaten by 3/4s a length while Oxbow finished 6th and 10 back with almost identical finishing times of 2:02.61 and 2:02.89