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I do not see Trump winning reelection. There are a number of factors:
The economy has been growing for almost ten years, at some point it has to slow down, fair or not the President gets the credit and blame for the economy's health.
The 2016 election results show that PA, MI and WI will likely be very tough to win in 2020. NC, GA, FL and VA all could easily go blue.
The various investigations that will start to conclude this year cannot be good news for Trump.
The key factor is who, the Democrats choose to oppose him. Trump couldn't have asked for a better opponent in 2012. I suspect a lot of Democrats will eventually support the one they feel is most likely to beat Trump and not go far left. Who the Democrats choose will be the key factor in Trump's chances.
We will see soon enough. By January 2020, the picture should be more clear.
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