Quote:
Originally Posted by ranchwest
Today, your oddsline needs to be close to reflecting the whale bets. Their money goes in near posttime, some say after. Comparing to the tote board no longer works. The displayed odds may be 2/1 loading, 3/2 when the gates open and 2/5 when the horses cross the wire.
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OK, I don't think so. Your oddsline should be a win oddsline reflecting
the chances each horse has to win the race. Or just your contenders,
however you make your line. It has nothing to do with who the betting
teams are betting on.
If you want to make a line on who you think the teams are betting on
that seems like a worthwile effort depending on how you play.
One way to avoid late odds changes is to bet cheap claiming
races at tracks with smaller handles to where the tote system can
keep up. Ie; tracks not called Gulfstream or any others where you think
it's a chronic problem.
I'm not privy to what these teams are thinking but it's not in their interest
to tilt the toteboard. Obviously nothing works all the time.
Fixed odds wagering is on the way. It'll be a lot more fun then.