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Originally Posted by eurocapper
As a bettor I'm looking for approaches that ignore last speed figure and still finds winners reliably.
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As a bettor, I often ignore the horse's last race altogether...pretending that it doesn't even exist.
We have all been preconditioned to believe that the last race is the best indicator of a horse's form...and that type of thinking must be avoided if value is what we are looking for in this game.
Whether the last race is too good, or too bad, I ignore it...unless other proof exists to make me think that something has fundamentally changed with the horse.
The horse's last race is often only a mirage...
