Quote:
Originally Posted by One Eye
I live in Las Vegas and my sportsbook occasionally offers prop bets on horse racing. There was one prop that particularly caught my interest and I wanted to see if anybody had any helpful feedback on whether this constitutes a good bet.
The bet is listed as follows:
TRIPLE CROWN
-Will Justify Win The 2018 Triple Crown Yes or No?
YES +130
NO -160
Now obviously, the book is taking out more than the standard juice (i.e., -115 instead of -110). However, my first instict was the 'NO' side offered value. We all know how difficult it is, even for a talented horse with strong connections, to win the Preakness and the Belmont. Does anybody have an opinion on whether either side offers value?
Thank you!
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nah thats a bad bet
say he is 1/9 to win the next (thats generous) and then he is 1/5 in the belmont (the whole distance thing against him) you should be getting better than +130. More like +180.
