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Old 01-28-2018, 10:32 PM   #15
ultracapper
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Join Date: Jul 2013
Location: Seattle
Posts: 3,943
Quote:
Originally Posted by iamt View Post
Why is the assumption that the bot is only coming in late.

It is more likely that the bot was responsible for the runner being short in the double and pick 3s to start with. The public has then continued to neglect the horse in the win pools up until post time where the bot comes in and bets the runner down closer to their line.
Why would the bot make the horse short in the exotics? That would imply handicapping. Sure, the bot could scan the will pays for race 8 while betting is going on for race 6, but how would it know there is an overlay in the P3 pool, how would it know where the subject horse should stand in the hierarchy of odds, unless it has given some type of handicapped value to the subject horse in advance? By scanning values during the betting of race 8, the bot just sees the pools are out of whack, and fixes them. No handicapping involved.

Your scenario would fit my example 2 more than bot involvement.

Last edited by ultracapper; 01-28-2018 at 10:37 PM.
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