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[woodbinepmi]

Hong Kong Jockey Club at Sha Tin. October 6, 2019… 8th race meeting of the 2019-2020 year.
Weather report: 87 Degrees 80% of rain Wind: ENE 15 to 25 mph.

Post time: 1am ET, 10pm PT. Rail: Course “B+2” AWT, track listed: Good

Past Performance links:
https://racing.hkjc.com/racing/content/PDF/RaceCard/20191006_starter_all.pdf
http://www.hkjc.com/english/formguide/1.html SpeedPRO
http://www.drf.com/hk
http://www.scmp.com/sport/racing/racecard
http://www.hkracing.com/interactive/ Pace Ratings

Live Video Feed:
http://thoroughbrednews.com.au/news/story/live-streaming-of-hong-kongs-meetings-116841?section=livestreaming

Vulnerable favourite on the card:
Race 1 Full Of Chances (3-1) Comes from a very cold barn what with 1 win out of 37 tries and a rider who also has only one win on the meet. Even with the drop in class his performance ratings are not to par level and there are few in here that have which is very unusual for Class 5 races.

Horses coming out of key races running tonight (races where multiple winners have come back next time out and won):
Race *739 (2nd & 6th, Second: 4th & 12th)
Race 7 Clear Choice (9-2)

Race *759 (5th & 11th, Second: 7th)
Race 10 Uncle Steve (8-1)

In the event of rain these horses have shown an appreciation for soft footing. (Good to Yielding or Yielding):
Race 6 Good Fit (16-1)

Trainer/Jockey/Horse winning combos running tonight:
Race 2 Gorgeous Again (7-1)
Race 3 Dating (9-1)
Race 8 Band Of Brothers (6-5)

Horses for courses running tonight:
Race 8 Band Of Brothers (6-5)

Distance specialists running tonight:
None

Class specialists running tonight:
None

Last race watch list horses running tonight:
Race 7 Perfect Play (13-1) In his last race just before the summer break he finished a nice second to Flying Quest after travelling wide without any cover but did come out of that race on the Vet's list with a sore back. Fownes had figured he had the problem solved by picking up Moreira for the run around the block and the public responded with them betting him down to the 2-1 chalk. He broke a step slow but that is nothing new with him, he usually runs from off the pace, heading into the first turn he found himself mid-pack racing two wide all the while the light weight eventual winner Last Kingdom was on the front end setting a very slow pace for the rest to ran at. At the 750 metre mark Joao tried to get him into the race but was forced out to the three path entering the turn and with a very strong rail bias that night he was now treading water, entering the stretch he drifted out to the five path even further away from the land of gold and honey and with the early pace situation he couldn't make up the ground in the stretch and was hand ridden for the final 100 metres.

Race 10 Fast Most Furious (6-1) Was all out in his last to get up after breaking from the 13 post going 7 furlongs all the while getting the aid of a closing track that day. Was a little washed up heading into the gate here, he settled in mid-pack two wide on the backside, moved out to the five path entering the stretch and dug down trying to catch the light weight winner Gold Chest who had a perfect trip in the early going. He picked up 2 handicapping points which will allow him one more run at Class 2.

Race 10 Hezthewonforus (3-1) After finding that he has a very strong appreciation for the wet going two and three races back, he now found himself in a VERY tough Class 2 race that was the finale of the year (every owner in HK wants to win the finale). With it being a tough race for the class he was unfortunate to draw the 12 gate and being a front runner that was catching a track that was favouring closers he was in for a tough going before they even reached the gate. He broke well and Moreira tried to get him over as quickly as possible without using too much of him up, Cruising took the early lead, but just before the turn Moreira had to get into Hezthewonforus to get up front or he would have been stuck four wide and did into a fast pace too. After running a full second faster than par he took a two length lead early in the stretch but with 200 to go, the pace and the track finally took its toll and he galloped out to finish 5th beaten 2 lengths to the 12-1 winner Fast Most Furious for David Hall. The tell on this one next time out is, if Moreira stays on he's ready, Joao will not be required to ride for Size next year so it will be a judgement call.

Race 10 Hello Beauty (14-1) He was put on my watch list back on July 7th finishing fifth after travelling wide and came back to run second to Aerohappiness as the beaten favourite, now after the summer break Moore was forced to jump him up in class after he picked up two handicap points for that effort. In his first go against Class 2 runners (and a good field too) he was bet down as the 3-1 second betting choice behind Fat Turtle. He broke well but soon afterwards he was bumped on his left side by the favourite then bounced back into California Whip who had broke from just underneath him causing him to lose his place in line and race a little further back than where he wanted to be. Now racing mid-pack two wide just before the turn he became a little rank when Shinn on Styling City bumped Fat Turtle over into his path, this continued for at least 100 metres. After settling down he entered the stretch in the 5 path, he started to tire at the 200 metre mark drifting in and out slightly and was wrapped up soon after that by Schofield.

Race 10 Uncle Steve (8-1) After finally finding the winner's circle in his last going a mile at Sha Tin, he was bet down as the heavy even money favourite in a field of 14 for John Moore and leading rider Zach Purton. At the break he was slightly bothered by Marqula when he broke on his hind legs and forcing Uncle Steve to avoid him which now put him behind Beauty Day. Half-way down the backside he started fighting Zac for the bit and began to climb with his mouth open, in the turn he raced in the third flight three wide while chasing the longshot winner Earth Trilogy who had the easiest of trips you could ask for. At the top he moved out to the 5 path but was not able to ever head the front runner losing top prize by a half-length.

Past watch list runners running tonight:
None

Key Plays:
Race 8 Follow Me (5-1)
Race 9 California Guncho (3-1)

Longshot:
Race 7 Perfect Play (13-1)