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Old 08-28-2019, 07:45 PM   #1
woodbinepmi
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Join Date: Feb 2011
Location: Baton Rouge, La
Posts: 1,793
2019-2020 HONG KONG

With the start of the 2019-2010 Hong Kong meet starting up in a few days, here is some observations that were made for every trainer in the HKJC with the exception of Douglas Whyte (starting his training career this year) last year. These are only observations, they are not percentages. I will refer to the meet in quarters, each quarter consist of 204 races

The categories are:
First, second and third time starters, first time starters in Hong Kong that have ran previously at other locations.
Off for more than 60 and 120 days, and second starts after those races.
Up and down in class
Track changes (Happy Valley to Sha Tin and vice versa and Turf to Dirt and Dirt to Turf)
Blinkers on/off
Positive jock switches (Top 3 riders on) and negative jock switches (Top 3 jocks off).
Distance switches: Short (1,000 metres) Middle (1,200-1,400) Long (1,600-1,800) Distance (2,000+)
Repeat Winners

J. Size
1st Qtr.: Repeat winners
2nd Qtr.: Up in class, second time starter and repeat winners.
3rd Qtr.: Up in class and repeat winners.
4th Qtr.: Up in class and repeat winners
Positive distances: ST 1,200 27%, ST 1,400 17%, HV 1,650 20% and HV 1,800 25%.
Negative distances: ST 1,000 4%, ST 1,800 5% and ST 2,000 6%.

J. Moore
1st Qtr.: First after 60 day rest, second race after 60 day rest and repeat winners.
2nd Qtr.: Happy Valley/Sha Tin, Sha Tin/Happy Valley, repeat winners and positive jock switch.
3rd Qtr.: Happy Valley/Sha Tin and repeat winners.
4th Qtr.: Repeat winners and positive jock switch.
John only had 1 first time starter win last year.
Positive distances: ST 1,000 19%, ST 1,600 22% and AWT 1,200 17%.
Negative distances: HV 1,200 5%.

F. Lor
1st Qtr.: First race after 60 day rest (especially with repeat winners).
2nd Qtr.: Up in class
3rd Qtr.: Repeat winners.
4th Qtr.: Turf/AWT
Positive distances: ST 1,200 18%, HV 1,200 19%, AWT 1,200 38% and AWT 1,650 17%.
Negative distances: ST 1,600 6% and HV 1,650 5%.

A. Cruz
1st Qtr.: Second race after 60 day rest and positive jock switch.
2nd Qtr.: Down in class
3rd Qtr.: Up in class, second race after 60 day rest, positive jock switch and repeat winners.
4th Qtr.: None
Positive distances: None
Negative distances: ST 1,200 5% and ST 2,000 4%.

C. Shum
1st Qtr.: First race after 60 day rest, short/middle and blinkers on.
2nd Qtr.: Repeat winners
3rd Qtr.: Repeat winners
4th Qtr.: Second race after 60 and 120 day rest.
Positive distances: None
Negative distances: ST 1,600 5%, AWT 1,650 5%, HV 1,000 3% and HV 1,800 5%.

C. Yip
1st Qtr.: None
2nd Qtr.: Positive jock switch.
3rd Qtr.: Positive jock switch.
4th Qtr.: None
Positive distances: None
Negative distances: ST 1,600 3%

Y. Tsui
1st Qtr.: First race after 60 and 120 day rest.
2nd Qtr.: Sha Tin/Happy Valley
3rd Qtr.: None
4th Qtr.: None
Positive distances: 1,200 23% and HV 1,000 17%.
Negative distances: ST 1,000 3&, ST 1,200 0% and AWT 1,650 4%.

K. Ting
1st Qtr.: Second race after 60 day rest (especially after the first month of the meet)
2nd Qtr.: Up in class (especially with repeat winners)
3rd Qtr.: None
4th Qtr.: None
Positive distances: ST 1,600 18%, HV 1,000 23%, HV 1,800 36%.
Negative distances: ST 1,400 5% and AWT 1,200 4%.

C. Fownes
1st Qtr.: None
2nd Qtr.: Positive jock switch.
3rd Qtr.: Second race after 60 day rest.
4th Qtr.: Down in class.
Positive distances: HV 1,800 20%
Negative distances: ST 1,200 5%, ST 1,400 5% and ST 1,600 6%.

A. Millard
1st Qtr.: Happy Valley/Sha Tin
2nd Qtr.: Sha Tin/Happy Valley
3rd Qtr.: Sha Tin/Happy Valley and second race after 60 day rest.
4th Qtr.: None
Positive distances: None
Negative distances: ST 1,600 5% and AWT 1,200 5%.

L. Ho
1st Qtr.: None
2nd Qtr.: AWT/Turf and Turf/AWT
3rd Qtr.: AWT/Turf and Turf/AWT
4th Qtr.: None
Positive distances: None
Negative distances: ST 1,600 4% and AWT 1,200 6%.

K. Lui
1st Qtr.: None
2nd Qtr.: None
3rd Qtr.: None
4th Qtr.: Second time starters
Positive distances: None
Negative distances: ST 1,000 3% and ST 1,400 6%.

T. Yung
1st Qtr.: None
2nd Qtr.: None
3rd Qtr.: Third time starters and positive jock switches.
4th Qtr.: Positive jock switches
Positive distances: None
Negative distances: HV 1,200 2%.

W. So
1st Qtr.: None
2nd Qtr.: None
3rd Qtr.: Repeat winners
4th Qtr.: None
Positive distances: None
Negative distances: AWT 1,200 0%.

R. Gibson
1st Qtr.: First race after 60 day rest and Sha Tin/Happy Valley.
2nd Qtr.: None
3rd Qtr.: Positive jock switch
4th Qtr.: None
Positive distances: None
Negative distances: None

P. Yiu
1st Qtr.: First race after 60 day rest
2nd Qtr.: Middle/short
3rd Qtr.: Middle/short
4th Qtr.: Middle/short
Positive distances: None
Negative distances: None

K. Man
1st Qtr.: None
2nd Qtr.: Repeat winners
3rd Qtr.: None
4th Qtr.: None
Positive distances: None
Negative distances: None

D. Hall
1st Qtr.: First race after 120 day rest (especially with repeat winners)
2nd Qtr.: Repeat winners
3rd Qtr.: None
4th Qtr.: Up in class and positive jock switch.
Positive distances: ST 1,800 31%
Negative distances: HV 1,200 3%

P. O'Sullivan
1st Qtr.: Sha Tin/Happy Valley
2nd Qtr.: None
3rd Qtr.: Second time starters and Happy Valley/Sha Tin
4th Qtr.: Sha Tin/Happy Valley
Positive distances: None
Negative distances: None

D. Ferraris
1st Qtr.: None
2nd Qtr.: None
3rd Qtr.: Repeat winners
4th Qtr.: Repeat winne
Positive distances: None
Negative distances: None

C. Chang
1st Qtr.: None
2nd Qtr.: Positive jock switch
3rd Qtr.: Sha Tin/Happy Valley
4th Qtr.: Positive jock switch
Positive distances: None
Negative distances: None


These are the favourable and not so favourable distances from the 2018-2019 season for the jockeys in Hong Kong.

Z. Purton
Positive: All distances
Negative: None

J. Moreria
Positive: All distances
Negative: None

K. Teetan
Positive: None
Negative: ST 1,800 7% and ST 2,00 6%.

C. Ho
Positive: ST 1,800 25% and HV 1,650 17%.
Negative: ST 1,000 3% and ST 1,400 4%.

H. Wong
Positive: HV 1,000 36% and HV 1,200 18%
Negative: ST 1,400 6%.

C. Schofield
Positive: AWT 1,650 19%.
Negative: ST,800 0%.

M. Poon
Positive: None
Negative: ST 1,600 3%.

G. van Niekerk
Positive: None
Negative: HV 1,000 0% and HV 1,800 0%.

A. Rispoli
Positive: None
Negative: HV 1,000 0% and HV 1,200 2%.

H. Mo
Positive: AWT 1,800 43%.
Negative: AWT 1,650 0%.

M. Chadwick
Positive: None
Negative: ST 1,600 3%.

M. Yeung
Positive: None
Negative: HV 1,200 1%.

N. Callan
Positive: None
Negative: HV 1,000 0%, HV 1,800 0%, AWT 1,200 0% and ST 1,600 0%.
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