Quote:
Originally Posted by Half Smoke
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according to my google search KY Derby faves have won 56 of 146 times or 38.3%
I believe overall in racing the % is about 33%
this factoid about the Derby seems really unlikely to me
of course it could just be a statistical anomaly
but I tend to doubt it
the think that makes it so amazing to me is that there are usually 20 or close to 20 horses in the field
you would think (anyway I would think) that with such large fields the % of winning faves would drop
why didn't the very large fields cause the % to drop?
thanks
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1) It is the most analyzed race in North America, possibly the world.
2) With the prestige of winning comes an all out performance from the trainer and jockey and therefore the horse.
