Quote:
Originally Posted by VigorsTheGrey
How is the par value that both are adjusted against arrived at in TimeformUS...?
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I don't use class pars, I use baselines. They are based on the optimal percentage the winner runs for each fraction at each distance / surface combination at each track.
Code:
6.0 22.00 44.33 68.34
6.5 21.81 44.12 74.45
7.0 22.62 44.84 80.98
That is a snippet from Saratoga on dirt. As an example, the optimal percentage to run the opening quarter at 6f is 22.00 / 68.34 = 0.3219. So, if a race were run with a final time of 1:11.00 (71 seconds), the optimal first quarter would be 71 x 0.3219 = 22.86.
That is the simplified version. Pace variants come into play as well but that is another story.
