Quote:
Originally Posted by VigorsTheGrey
That's kind of what I don't understand...thought they took all races run at 6 furlongs...took all the 1st call times for the leader in each of those races, then averaged those to get the baseline figure...
THEN compare that number to the time of the 1st call leader for the race in question, and then either deducted or added from there, is that how it works...you seem to say something different...
I don't know how it works but would like to understand what I am looking at these days...
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I used to make similar figures before I migrated to BRIS. To explain briefly ,because I don't have a lot of time. Through the magic of excel, with surprisingly little data needed, you can come up with two formulas that will give you a theoretical average 2f and 4f split time for any given final time. You compare this to the actual 2f and 4f times of the race to determine race shape.
You do this by making an x y scatter chart with all data for a given distance and asking excel to create a trend line and supply the formula for the trend line, which you can convert to a formula that you can input any final time and it will determine the proper fractional time.
