Quote:
Originally Posted by LottaKash
I agree...In a lot of races, depending on type and makeup, speed and or pace can be neutralized to the point that if may be almost irrelevant, as it is just not predictive as some may believe in many scenarios, and can be safely discarded as a winning factor...
This is where a handicapper who is good at identifying where a horse may be in his Form Cycle, and/or what the Trainer's Intentions on Raceday may be (angles)will have a clear edge, and will be the ones who will discover and wager on the nice little bargains that the crowd will hand them from time to time....
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No matter what our handicapping approach is, there will be plenty of races whose results will leave us scratching our heads. Whether we do "full-dress" handicapping, or handicap with "angles"...we will still end up tearing up our tickets the overwhelming majority of the time. The game isn't as predictable as we'd like it to be. The "angle" player does not necessarily win when the speed/pace handicapper loses...and vice versa. Sometimes...the only players who win are the hunch bettors.