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Originally Posted by PhantomOnTour
I downgraded him for having two nice trips, but with the way the pace scenario is shaping up for the Derby, he may just get another.
I have changed my mind on this colt and now see him as a contender for the top slots.
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He is the stand out of the crop and will prove so. His pace numbers are far more superior than all the others. Him and Creator are top ranked on my sheet. Just from a statistical standpoint Gun Runner stands out.
RAN sire line (sire line produces high % of winners)
AWD of Sire >6.7 (12 of 16 winners)
Bris LP 96+ (14 of 16 winners)
New top Bris in last (9 of 16 winners)
Won @ mile or more @ 2 (11 of 16 winners)
E2/LP/Speed all 100+ in last
Based on data I collect the top contenders are Gun Runner and Creator
Mor Spirit, Suddenbreakingnews, and My Man Sam look strong as well.
This thing could also explode and Oscar Nominated wins.
