Quote:
Originally Posted by gamblegamble
So you ignored sectional pars and focused on final time but calculated sectional based efficiency to make adjustments?
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I'm saying if you know the track's par fractions for let's say 100 horses running 6f distance on dirt look like 22.0, 45.0, 1:10.0 then for any final time of 1:10 you already know what par pace is for 1:10, it's 22.0, 23.0, 25.0 -- doesn't matter if the track is running 2 seconds fast or slow on that day, doesn't matter if it's a stakes race or maiden claimer, the final time gives you the par sectionals looking backwards from it, the class pars for sectionals then mean nothing (at this stage). If some horse went 21.0, 44.0, 1:10, assuming no crazy wind conditions we know they went fast early for the time, may not have been fast for the class of race, that's another question entirely which can be answered later on in the process using the daily track variant, class pars etc. Good luck, there's a lot of work involved to get the answers to these questions but it's interesting stuff.
