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Old 05-12-2021, 02:00 PM   #5
Dave Schwartz
 
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Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Reno, NV
Posts: 16,915
Quote:
Originally Posted by gamblegamble View Post
Hello Pace Advantage members.

I'm trying to create sectional time based pars for individual runners in the distance blocks that are possible based on my data. Any help on what I should base the par off would be appreciated. Average or median time maybe? Average or median time of all runners who broke par for the overall race time? Or use the race pars?

I have race based sectional time pars based on the leader and race time grouped by track, distance, track condition and class.

But going about individual runners I'm really unsure of what's best. Although using race based sectional time pars based on the leader and race time seems reasonable. Just calculate how the individual horse measured up against these

What do you think? Any help much appreciated.
Here's a video I made to help people understand pars and using them. Probably won't tell you everything you need but will give you a leg up.

http://pacemakestherace.com/using-pa...ratings-video/

Also, if you'd like a short (free) consult, reach out to me and we can schedule a time.


Regards,
Dave Schwartz
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