03-24-2016, 02:10 AM
|
#40
|
Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2013
Location: Seattle
Posts: 3,943
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by NorCalGreg
Was just now at Cohail's site (it's still up)......somehow googled my way to it. I liked his take on what's worthwhile in handicapping--and what's useless. I believe the author has since passed, but his site is well-worth the read.
He wasn't afraid to go against the grain of modern handicapping:
"The following aspects are borderline worthless:
Speed Numbers: I once believed in speed numbers, but wisdom comes with age, and I now wonder how anyone can believe a manipulated number is somehow more accurate than the actual time of a race is beyond my grasp.
Track Variants: Impossible to determine with any degree of accuracy.
Beyer Speed Figures: The worst hoax ever perpetuated upon the race-going public.
Par times: The dynamics of every race are different, and profiles based on average times for a given distance are highly flawed. They have no bearing on what will happen in the race under scrutiny.
Class: An elusive element. Worrying about which horse is the “class” in a race is daunting, time consuming, and mostly a waist of time.
Post Position: The post position a horse will break from has little, if any, influence on the outcome of the race.
Jockey: A competent trainer will employ a competent jockey. Issue closed.
Weight: Probably the most overemphasized factor in horse racing.
Track Condition: Another factor that gets far more attention than it deserves."
https://amgona.wordpress.com/2013/09...pping-aspects/
I googled his book for a review, and it brought me to this older thread.
NCG
|
I believe Nitro would be more in agreement with this post than not. Many ways to skin a cat. Many ways indeed.
|
|
|