Quote:
Originally Posted by pandy
I used to downgrade the figures of any horse that broke its maiden for a tag, based on my analysis which showed that according to the figures I was making, on average, horses that came off of maiden wins in claiming races usually ran a figure of at least 5 points slower in their next start. A well known turf writer told me that I shouldn't do that, saying that "the figure is the figure."
My response was, "I want my figures to work. By making this adjustment, the figures are better, and that's what counts in the long run."
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I agree. I think there are actual reasons why this works in this case, not just basing it on data, but whatever works. Beyer already does this with turf races but in the opposite direction.
