Quote:
Originally Posted by dilanesp
All these statements about "I came close to making it faster" and "it could have been faster" are concessions that in fact there's nothing being statistically measured here because there's no way to test the results. It's just guesswork.
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It’s somewhere in between . It’s not totally guesswork . But almost like weather predictions. They can easily mean absolutely nothing at times. That’s reality. The problem with sticking to one formula or trying to “live” off of it. You’re just limiting your ability and potential. There are “judgment” calls you have to be willing to make . I actually had someone on here tell me it’s ridiculous to judge or use an educated guess at the pace of a race. I asked how they did it ? They look at the final number and that’s their opinion. Great ! Good luck with that ! The converse is also true. Sometimes a horse runs a really fast pace …… never comes eye to eye with a competitor and runs the field off their feet by open lengths. That leads to all this talk about raising the number . Everyone is prone to bias, I try to limit it as much as possible. Sometimes I get the impression that some of these handicappers and figure makers get caught up in “fandom “ and don’t really realize it . The true test for this horse will be tomorrow. If he runs off, you’ll know for sure he’s that good .
