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Thread: Winning Odds
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Old 10-20-2022, 11:19 PM   #48
steveb
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Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Melbourne Australia
Posts: 918
Quote:
Originally Posted by delfman View Post
your question does not do you much good without factoring in field size.
A 2-1 horse in a 6 horse field has a MUCH greater chance of winning than a 2-1 horse in a 12 horse field.



why, ignoring the fact that the 2/1(.333) is the implied prob regardless of field size?

how accurate the final odds are, will be a function of who is effectively making the odds(ie how good the players are), and not the size of the field.


obscure places with smaller pools will likely be less efficient but can't see what field size has to do with it.
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