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Thread: Winning Odds
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Old 10-19-2022, 04:40 PM   #14
Jeff P
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And here's the 2-1 incremental odds range from the above dataset broken out by fieldsize:

Code:
query start:         10/19/2022 1:34:03 PM
query end:           10/19/2022 1:34:08 PM
elapsed time:        5 seconds

Data Window Settings:
Connected to: C:\JCapper\exe\JCapper2.mdb
999 Divisor  Odds Cap: None
SQL UDM Plays Report: Hide

SQL:  SELECT * FROM STARTERHISTORY
      WHERE ODDS >= 2 
      AND ODDS < 2.5 
      AND [DATE] >= #10-19-2021# 
      AND [DATE] <= #10-18-2022# 
      ORDER BY [DATE], TRACK, RACE


Data Summary          Win         Place          Show
-----------------------------------------------------
Mutuel Totals    21639.60      21966.68      21465.50
Bet             -25306.00     -25306.00     -25306.00
-----------------------------------------------------
P/L              -3666.40      -3339.32      -3840.50

Wins                 3389          6241          8024
Plays               12653         12653         12653
PCT                 .2678         .4932         .6342

ROI                0.8551        0.8680        0.8482
Avg Mut              6.39          3.52          2.68

Code:
By: FieldSize

Value      P/L        Bet        Roi    Wins   Plays     Pct     Impact     AvgMut
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 3      -17.60      80.00     0.7800      10      40   .2500     0.9334       6.24  
 4      -93.96     702.00     0.8662      96     351   .2735     1.0211       6.33  
 5     -561.88    2870.00     0.8042     361    1435   .2516     0.9392       6.39  
 6     -759.60    6170.00     0.8769     850    3085   .2755     1.0287       6.37  
 7     -773.16    5848.00     0.8678     795    2924   .2719     1.0151       6.38  
 8     -772.98    4098.00     0.8114     519    2049   .2533     0.9457       6.41  
 9     -393.16    2628.00     0.8504     350    1314   .2664     0.9945       6.39  
10     -214.44    1706.00     0.8743     233     853   .2732     1.0198       6.40  
11      -58.96     704.00     0.9163     101     352   .2869     1.0713       6.39  
12       -8.76     462.00     0.9810      70     231   .3030     1.1314       6.47  
13       -6.50      26.00     0.7500       3      13   .2308     0.8616       6.50  
14       -5.40      12.00     0.5500       1       6   .1667     0.6223       6.60

There's actually very little variation in win rate within an incremental odds range. (Other larger samples from past years bear this out.)


-jp

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