Quote:
Originally Posted by delfman
your question does not do you much good without factoring in field size.
A 2-1 horse in a 6 horse field has a MUCH greater chance of winning than a 2-1 horse in a 12 horse field.
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Actually it doesn't.
Here's the 5-2 incremental odds range with the data broken out by fieldsize:
Code:
query start: 10/19/2022 1:22:10 PM
query end: 10/19/2022 1:22:15 PM
elapsed time: 5 seconds
Data Window Settings:
Connected to: C:\JCapper\exe\JCapper2.mdb
999 Divisor Odds Cap: None
SQL UDM Plays Report: Hide
SQL: SELECT * FROM STARTERHISTORY
WHERE ODDS >= 2.5
AND ODDS < 3
AND [DATE] >= #10-19-2021#
AND [DATE] <= #10-18-2022#
ORDER BY [DATE], TRACK, RACE
Data Summary Win Place Show
-----------------------------------------------------
Mutuel Totals 20676.34 20720.00 20478.08
Bet -24692.00 -24692.00 -24692.00
-----------------------------------------------------
P/L -4015.66 -3972.00 -4213.92
Wins 2803 5420 7273
Plays 12346 12346 12346
PCT .2270 .4390 .5891
ROI 0.8374 0.8391 0.8293
Avg Mut 7.38 3.82 2.82
Code:
By: FieldSize
Value P/L Bet Roi Wins Plays Pct Impact AvgMut
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1 0.00 0.00 0.0000 0 0 .0000 0.0000 0.00
2 0.00 0.00 0.0000 0 0 .0000 0.0000 0.00
3 -30.60 82.00 0.6268 7 41 .1707 0.7520 7.34
4 -128.92 588.00 0.7807 62 294 .2109 0.9289 7.40
5 -420.30 2684.00 0.8434 307 1342 .2288 1.0076 7.37
6 -1006.66 5736.00 0.8245 640 2868 .2232 0.9829 7.39
7 -1050.50 5518.00 0.8096 607 2759 .2200 0.9690 7.36
8 -600.00 4302.00 0.8605 502 2151 .2334 1.0279 7.37
9 -322.98 2618.00 0.8766 310 1309 .2368 1.0431 7.40
10 -364.42 1750.00 0.7918 188 875 .2149 0.9464 7.37
11 4.04 770.00 1.0052 105 385 .2727 1.2012 7.37
12 -108.92 590.00 0.8154 66 295 .2237 0.9854 7.29
13 16.00 36.00 1.4444 7 18 .3889 1.7129 7.43
14 -2.40 18.00 0.8667 2 9 .2222 0.9788 7.80
-jp
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